*Denver +3 at Kansas City (ELO +.5; 2.5) Thursday 7:25pm B W
Houston +3.5 at Carolina (ELO +5.5; 2) Sunday 12pm
*Tennessee at Cleveland +1 (ELO -3; 4) Sunday 12pm B W
*Detroit +3 at Minnesota (ELO Pick; 3) Sunday 12pm B L
Tampa Bay +10 at New Orleans (ELO +8; 2) Sunday 12pm
*San Francisco +6 at Pittsburgh (ELO +3; 3) Sunday 12pm B L
Miami at Jacksonville +6 (ELO +4; 2) Sunday 3:05pm
*Dallas +6.5 at Philadelphia (ELO Pick; 5) Sunday 3:05pm B W
*Seattle +3.5 at Green Bay (ELO +1; 2.5) Sunday 7:30pm
*2.5 points or greater between ELO and line. This is what I normally bet. I decided to document the 2 point ones just in case the line moves enough. Last year, I only checked the filtered Elo picks. Next week, I may change to weigh the entire field against Elo at betting time, in case some of them move into the betting range. This is explained here after analysing late last season.
Of course, it is also possible that a pick moved out of the range, so the pick is “off”.
Last week: 4-1
2015 Season: 4-1